Words of Wisdom

My mantra of late has been this aphorism that's been kicking around for several decades:

Life is what happens to you while you're busy making other plans.

Those words are often attributed to John Lennon as he used the line in a song from his final album.

But I always had my doubts that they were his as Lennon is more known for clever word play and cheeky witticisms than for life lessons sounding like they can be found in the pages of Readers Digest, written by older people with a lifetime of experience behind them. Lennon of course, never got the chance to grow old as he was killed by a deranged "fan" when he was only forty, which makes the line in the song Beautiful Boy, released just a month before his death, all the more poignant.

Like many such thoughts commenting on the human condition, the general theme here, i.e.: TAKE NOTHING FOR GRANTED, has been around well, practically forever. The first known appearance of this particular phrase appeared where else, in an issue of Readers Digest in 1957, written by Allen Saunders.

The phrase took on special meaning for me this past November as my elderly mother had a bad fall and broke both her hip and shoulder. Her life has changed inexorably since then, going from living independently, to being almost entirely dependent on the help of others. My mom, a woman who is obsessed with making plans, had several of them dashed last November. First, she was planning to receive cortisone shots in her knees the following week to help alleviate the pain and weakness in her legs that very likely contributed to her accident. Later she was planning on hosting Thanksgiving as is her custom, returning to her beloved holiday entertaining after a year's hiatus due to the lockdown. Obviously, none of that came to pass and much, much worse, she will never be able to return to life as she knew it before the fall. 

I dreaded the possibility of my mother suffering a serious fall for years, but as is my custom, I put the painful thought way back in the recesses of my mind until that fateful day. 

Naturally I should have seen it coming and been more prepared, but as the adage goes, I had other plans.

The same can be said about what may potentially turn into the greatest global crisis those of us younger than my mother have witnessed in our lives.  

We should have seen this one coming as well.

Vladimir Putin never made any secret his belief that the single greatest tragedy in world history was the fall of the Soviet Union at the end of the twentieth century. Much of his twenty-plus-year reign as president/dictator of Russia, has been directed at rectifying that event.

If you ask Ukrainian people in the know about the war against their country that Putin "started" last week, they will correct you by saying the war has been ongoing since 2014 when Putin annexed a portion of their sovereign nation, Crimea.

Ukraine is not the only former member of the Soviet Union whose national sovereignty was violated by Putin's Russia.

In 2008, Russia invaded the nation of Georgia. As the western powers at the time were loath to confront the single greatest nuclear threat (in terms of numbers of armed nuclear warheads) in the world, little was done about it, in some eyes, creating the "Green Light" which emboldened Putin to wage his later incursions into Ukraine.

In 2020, the president/dictator of Belarus, Alexander Lukashenko, the only European leader who has more years of tight-fisted control over his country than Putin, asked his Russian counterpart to intervene on his behalf, to quell protests in his country over a disputed election in which Lukashenko declared himself the winner. Putin obliged, sending in a "peace keeping" force that "brutally thwarted" Lukashenko's opposition. Since that point, the two countries have been joined at the hip so to say. As we saw in the past week, Belarus was the launching pad for several of the forces that invaded Ukraine.

Putin's rise to power was defined by his waging of the Second Chechen War of 1999-2000. The North Caucus region of Chechnya, declared its independence from the Soviet Union after the latter's dissolution in 1991. This resulted in the First Chechen War which ended in 1996 when then Russian president Boris Yeltsin declared a cease-fire after Russian forces were unable to capture Chechen capital Grozny from rebel forces. The result was an uneasy de facto independence for Chechnya and humiliation for Russia and its military. 

In September of 1999, a series of explosions destroyed a number of apartment buildings in Moscow and other Russian cities, killing about 300 civilians. Russian authorities immediately and without evidence, blamed Chechen rebels for the bombings, leading to the Second Chechen War which this time was won by the Russians. Credit for that victory was given to then Prime Minister Putin who was soon to be named president by departing President Yeltsin in exchange for Putin's assurance that he would stop all investigations into Yeltsin's massive corruption. 

To this day, nobody knows for sure who actually carried out the apartment building bombings, but it seems unlikely that it was the Chechens. Many people believe the real culprit was the Kremlin and the FSB, the successor of the KGB, and that trail leads directly to Putin. The theory is that the government, needing a distraction from the crippling state of the Russian economy at the time, carried out the bombings as a pretext to rekindle the war with Chechnya.

If you've been paying any attention at all to the news of Russia's invasion of Ukraine last week, that should sound familiar.

The problem with getting to the bottom of the apartment bombings is that most of the people who have any information on the attacks have mysteriously found themselves dead.  

Oh well, none of us can live forever. 

Putin claimed that the story about the bombings being an inside job is preposterous, that no red-blooded FSB (KGB) agent would ever harm a fellow Russian, especially for such a deceitful purpose.

Whatever. 

I heard someone analyze it this way: In the end it doesn't matter if the bombings were carried out by terrorists or by Putin. In either case, the end result for the people of Russia is fear, and fear is the engine that drives totalitarian regimes. 

Closer to home, last week's invasion of Ukraine puts Putin's interference in the U.S. 2016 presidential election into much clearer perspective, not only in the man he supported in the election, but the division and acrimony in this country that he cultivated. The fact that we can't unify ourselves over an issue that should be as clear as day, is testimony to the fact that Putin has much of the United States unwittingly wrapped around his finger.

As for the man he supported, Donald Trump who perhaps more than anyone else is wittingly wrapped around Putin's fat little finger, it is more obvious than ever that the exPOTUS's public dissing of the democratically elected leaders of NATO nations was done at Putin's behest.

One of Vladimir Putin's pretexts for escalating this war is that his nation's security would be threatened if Ukraine were to join The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), founded after WWII as a defense alliance of western European nations, and the United States and Canada, formed to protect the group in the case of attack. Article Five of the North Atlantic Treaty states that if any of the member countries is attacked, all the other members will come to its aid. The addition of Germany to its ranks of members in 1955 led to the creation of the Warsaw Pact, the collective of nations under the sphere of influence of the Soviet Union. 

It is true that many of the former Warsaw Pact nations joined NATO after the breakup of the Soviet Union, much to Putin's dismay. They did so because the people of Poland, The Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary, the Baltic States and several others, wanted to be aligned with the west and not with Russia. As he's proven time and again, Putin is not a big fan of democracy (to put it mildly).

But does Putin have a legitimate claim that the security of Russia is at all threatened by the expansion of NATO? 

In a word, no. Since its inception, NATO has never launched an unprovoked attack against a sovereign nation. NATO forces did become involved in the devastating conflict in the former Yugoslavia in the 1990s and in the War in Afghanistan after the September 11, 2001 attacks on the United States.

The Soviet Union on the other hand, invaded Hungary unprovoked in 1956, Czechoslovakia unprovoked in 1968, and as we saw above, under Putin, Russia invaded nations that became sovereign after the breakup of the Soviet Union, also unprovoked. 

The only legitimate fear Putin has of NATO is that it might interfere with his plans of invading other nations.

Furthermore, there is no indication that Ukraine was on the brink of joining NATO in the first place.

Another pretext of Putin's is that Ukraine is not a real nation at all, that the distinction is purely artificial and that the Ukrainian people and the Russian people are really one in the same. That's a little like saying that the distinction between the United States and Canada does not exist and the two countries are really one. I used the term "a little" because in fact the United States and Canada (with the exception of Quebec), have far more in common culturally, linguistically, (and all the other factors that define nationhood) with each other than do Russia and Ukraine. Yet I've never heard anyone, ever, say that the U.S. and Canada are one entity. What's more, the United States and Canada do not have a brutally contentious historical relationship as do Russia and Ukraine.

Putin claimed that the main reason he invaded Ukraine is because many people in the eastern part of that nation who identified themselves as Russian, were being brutally repressed by the Ukrainians. Putin went so far as to use the term "de-nazification" as his motive to start this war.

That's interesting because his preliminary act last week of recognizing the independence of two breakaway territories in Eastern Ukraine is reminiscent of Hitler's prelude to war, his incursion into the Sudatenland, the western part of Czechoslovakia in the months preceding WWII, in order so he said, to protect the German nationals living there. Needless to say, Putin's full-scale invasion later in the week is painfully reminiscent of Hitler's invasion of Poland in September 1939, the act that triggered the deadliest war in human history.

It should be noted that Putin's claims of the mistreatment of Russian nationals in Ukraine are baseless. 

So why is Putin doing this? Your guess is as good as mine. Up until the moment of the invasion last week, despite the dire warnings of U.S. intelligence, most of the experts I read and heard talking about what would happen, said that Putin was bluffing, that no way would he be foolish enough to invade Ukraine. 

Once he takes Ukraine and installs his puppet regime, a task proving far more complicated and costly than he anticipated, but given the vast superiority in numbers of the Russian military, almost a certainty, what will he do next? He wouldn't possibly dare continue westward and invade Poland or Slovakia or any other NATO member, risking direct military conflict with NATO member nations including the U.S. and Canada, or in the words of President Biden: "a world war". 

Or would he? 

Just yesterday Putin announced to the world that he gave the order to "put the deterrence forces of the Russian army into a special mode of combat service.” By that he means his nuclear arsenal.

And he made this ominous comment the other day:

Anyone who tries to get in our way, let alone tries to threaten us and our people, should know that Russia’s answer will be immediate, and it will lead to consequences of the sort that you have not faced ever in your history.

Nuclear war unthinkable? Absurd? Absolutely. But so was invading Ukraine. 

Perhaps it's time to start making new plans.

Or dare I say to make none at all except...

... keeping the people of Ukraine in our hearts, our minds and if you believe in such things, our prayers.